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| Demographic || Economic || Political || Cultural || Natural || Technological |
Raw
Materials
Think of the
capacity of fiber as if it were infinite. We literally do not know how many bits per
second we can send down a fiber. Recent research results indicate that we are close to
being able to deliver 1,000 billion bits per second. This means that a fiber the size of a
human hair can deliver every issue ever made of the Wall Street Journal in less
than a second. Transmitting data at that speed, a fiber can deliver a million channels of
television concurrently -- roughly two hundred thousand times faster than twisted pair.
That is a big jump. And mind you, I am talking about a single fiber, so if you want more,
you just make more.
It is, after all, just sand.
Nicholas Negroponte, Being Digital, Alfred Knopf, 1995,
p. 23 |
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In Industrial societies, the
need for raw materials leads to:
 |
land rushes |
 |
boundary disputes |
 |
colonialism |
 |
world wars |
To say nothing of fostering greed and
motivating murder. Shortages of raw materials increase demand and sprout counter-movements
aimed at conservation (e.g. the
"Green" movement).
The marketing arm of industry has historically
consumed far fewer raw materials than production.
In a knowledge economy, ideas are the raw
materials. Schools are the factories, libraries are the farms, and mind share is the
territory. I don't think we can do anything about greed and murder, but I'm pretty sure in
a knowledge economy, the number of civil lawsuits rises. People will dispute rights rather
than land. They'll steal ideas rather than things. |

Energy
The cost of energy makes long-term growth of
high energy industries and goods difficult to predict. Much of that energy is used to
produce goods and services. But much is used to distribute them, too.
What are the evergy implications of Nick
Negroponte's observation about fiber opics above? In a knowledge economy,
 |
an office of thinkers uses less
energy than a steel plant adding an equivalent amount to the GNP |
 |
the energy used to distribute bits
is trivial compared to the energy used by the trucks, trains, boats, and planes that
distribute industrial products |
 |
maintaining the electronic
infrastructure uses far less energy than maintaining the highways, waterways, and airways |
Pollution
Growth of industry almost always damages the
natural environment. The so-called "green movement" seeks to operate businesses
in such a way so as not to damage the natural environment. Their platform covers two dozen
areas from agriculture to water. International marketers must consider the varying
political power of "greens" in different countries.
For example, the All-Russian
Society for Environmental Protection / Sverdlovsk Regional Council - Green Movement
Association bills inself as "the greatest and oldest non-government ecological
organization in Sverdlovsk Oblast." That's their logo on the right. The Association
was founded in 1924 and a wise marketer might take them into account before penetrating
too far into the Middle Urals.
Growth of knowledge hardly ever damages the natural
environment. In a knowledge economy, people no longer have to live near work or school.
Will people telecommute from the beach or the mountains? In that case, while they may
commute less, they may drive more.
While the United States may be moving from an industrial
economy to a knowledge economy, the steel still has to get made somewhere. The air there
soon becomes the air here. If won't work if we condemn or penalize other companies for
doing what we used to do.
Government
Intervention in Natural Resource Management
Changing philosophies on the role of
government in managing natural resources also blends into the legal environment. Marketers
must take care in identifying natural environmental trends and take into account
government regulations.

A Regulator's Dream |
A Regulator's
Nightmare |
| The means of analog
communications are specific to each application, like wires for voice, broadcast for
radio, or even bicycles for newspaper delivery. |
Digital communications,
however, by their nature, merge applications, such as voice, TV and data on a single
fiber, or paging and voice on a single cellular radio system. |
|
G. A. Keyworth,
Reinventing
Competition, March 8, 1995 |



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last update: July 22, 2000
http://toLearn.net/marketing/natural.htm
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